Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.057041 0.064772 0.072760 0.081600 0.091078 0.100909 0.111846
2025-04-27 0.042742 0.053831 0.065986 0.080154 0.096073 0.113280 0.133159
2025-05-04 0.035914 0.049202 0.064456 0.082931 0.104385 0.128228 0.156447
2025-05-11 0.029281 0.043578 0.060734 0.082248 0.107959 0.137210 0.172524
2025-05-18 0.025508 0.040795 0.059837 0.084398 0.114416 0.149179 0.191772
2025-05-25 0.022248 0.038180 0.058745 0.085967 0.119909 0.159830 0.209364
2025-06-01 0.018076 0.033773 0.054899 0.083692 0.120386 0.164266 0.219441
2025-06-08 0.014692 0.030003 0.051501 0.081643 0.120856 0.168471 0.229066
2025-06-15 0.013130 0.028721 0.051320 0.083662 0.126356 0.178748 0.245974
2025-06-22 0.011452 0.027027 0.050389 0.084545 0.130306 0.187065 0.260489
2025-06-29 0.010790 0.026899 0.051653 0.088379 0.138079 0.200159 0.280899
2025-07-06 0.009317 0.025188 0.050439 0.088681 0.141150 0.207322 0.294012
2025-07-13 0.009085 0.025782 0.052895 0.094441 0.151886 0.224722 0.320524
2025-07-20 0.007192 0.023029 0.050041 0.092581 0.152452 0.229288 0.331258
2025-07-27 0.006490 0.022471 0.050576 0.095574 0.159568 0.242274 0.352601
2025-08-03 0.005234 0.020506 0.048651 0.094821 0.161480 0.248496 0.365419
2025-08-10 0.004631 0.019852 0.048835 0.097168 0.167649 0.260260 0.385290
2025-08-17 0.004013 0.019024 0.048637 0.098880 0.172907 0.270832 0.403671
2025-08-24 0.002976 0.016832 0.045826 0.096397 0.172123 0.273340 0.411661
2025-08-31 0.002160 0.014904 0.043280 0.094159 0.171559 0.276049 0.419844
2025-09-07 0.001874 0.014488 0.043532 0.096365 0.177387 0.287320 0.439134
2025-09-14 0.001526 0.013729 0.043046 0.097328 0.181390 0.296137 0.455265
2025-09-21 0.001450 0.013944 0.044507 0.101510 0.190139 0.311415 0.479882